~/talk

2025 is the Year of Evals! Just like 2024, and 2023, and …

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Claim: enterprise evaluation becomes urgent in 2025 because models move from scoring to acting autonomously, budgets unlock after ChatGPT on Nov 30, 2022, and CEOs/CFOs/CISOs demand measurable ROI and risk numbers. Evidence: timeline of adoption — 2023: GenAI adoption, 2024: first production deployments, 2025: scaling and multi-agent systems — vendor signals (Arthur, BrainTrust, Galileo, Arise), leaked mid‑April revenue chatter, and costly human validation rates seen in a Merkor spreadsheet ($50–$200/hr). Open source AnyAgent for multi‑agent testing exists.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction to Arthur AI and Mozilla AI
  2. 0:462025: The Year of Evals
  3. 1:15AI/ML monitoring and evaluation
  4. 2:48The Year of the Agent
  5. 3:26The need for 'evals' wasn't obvious to the C-suite
  6. 4:15Pre-ChatGPT launch
  7. 6:06Venture capitalists' predictions
  8. 7:03Macroeconomic side of things
  9. 8:06OpenAI launching ChatGPT
  10. 9:152023: The Year of GenAI
  11. 9:392024: GenAI applications in production
  12. 10:222025: Scaling and autonomy
  13. 11:35Definition of an agent
  14. 12:06Connecting to downstream business KPIs
  15. 14:40Shift to multi-agent systems monitoring
  16. 15:42Q&A
  17. 16:16Discussion on domain expertise in evaluations
  18. 18:13Discussion on LLMs as judges
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