~/talk

Policy Evaluation under Interference

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Compares two concrete interference approaches: a graphon central limit theorem for network interference that gives root-n convergence for the direct effect (variance inflation captured by an explicit Qi term), shows a naive Horvitz–Thompson-style estimator for the indirect effect diverges but becomes valid after removing principal components of the adjacency matrix via PCA, and an equilibrium approach for marketplaces that estimates a marginal response by regressing on small mean-zero payment perturbations to produce a policy gradient. Simulations and theory show orders-of-magnitude improvement and log T vs sqrt T regret.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 1:46Interference
  3. 5:31Network Interference
  4. 9:03Direct Effect
  5. 17:05Agricultural Subsidies
  6. 17:55No Network Structure
  7. 18:40Concrete Application
  8. 20:27Two Approaches
  9. 23:48Results
  10. 27:45Questions
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