~/talk

Uniform Offline Policy Evaluation (OPE) and Offline Learning in Tabular RL

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Analyzes offline RL in episodic tabular (time-inhomogeneous) MDPs with N logged trajectories under a coverage assumption and proves pointwise OPE achieves the Cramer‑Rao lower bound (leading term ~ H^2/(N·D_M), with D_M ≈ 1/(SA) in best case), plus matching lower bounds and examples showing H^3 behavior; shows a model-based ERM yields uniform OPE sufficient for offline learning with only an extra √H factor; proof uses martingale decomposition, Rademacher complexity, a fictitious‑estimator trick and anchoring around empirically near‑optimal policies.

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  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 1:18Reinforcement learning is among the hottest area of research in ML!
  3. 2:11Topic today: Offline Reinforcement Learning, aka. Batch RL • Task 1: Offline Policy Evaluation. (OPE)
  4. 3:37Example applications of Offline RL
  5. 5:19Formal problem setup: Episodic, Tabular, Non-Stationary MDPS • Number of states, actions, horizon: 5AH
  6. 7:58We will not deal with exploration in offline RL, because we can't • The logging policy is out of our control
  7. 9:11Observation 1: OPE is in its essence a statistical estimation problem. . But is slightly non-trivial because we are estimating a single number, when the number of parameters describing the distribution are numerous.
  8. 10:24Observation 2: Offline Learning is a statistical learning problem . But with a structured hypothesis class (the policy class), and structured observations (trajectories).
  9. 14:05TL;DR: Our main contributions are: Optimal OPE and near optimal OPL 1. Characterizing the OPE for any fixed policy
  10. 15:54Comparing with prior results Offline Policy Evaluation Simulation
  11. 18:24Our result is the first that achieves optimal rates in the offline setting
  12. 19:22Why is uniform convergence in RL a nontrivial problem? • Even pointwise convergence is nontrivial
  13. 22:12Uniform convergence theorem for
  14. 23:30near-empirically optimal policies
  15. 24:27Key techniques used in the proof
  16. 25:44To reiterate the main points
  17. 26:26Future work / open problems
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