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Causal Inference in Complex Systems: Network Interference, Strategic Agents, and Beyond

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Argues that exact, finite-sample Fisher randomization test methods handle network interference by testing exposure contrasts (e.g., control spillovers vs pure control) instead of unit-level treatments, and introduces the null exposure graph whose biclique structure identifies imputable unit–assignment pairs. Application to a Medellín policing experiment shows focal-unit selection and throwing away non-imputable data are necessary tradeoffs, and the same graph view guides experimental design (maximize biclique size). Also reports minimax designs for temporal habituation where imbalanced randomized assignments perform best.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Start
  2. 0:50Introduction
  3. 2:37Crime spillovers in Medellin, Colombia
  4. 4:44Treatment habituation/Learning
  5. 9:16Causal Inference
  6. 16:43Design-based approach
  7. 44:32Spin-off 2: Improving the experimental design
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