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Unmeasured Confounding and More Recent Developments/Challenges in Causal Discovery

Talkat Causality Boot Camp · 2022-01-18..01-22· [machine-learning]
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slides:none on file

Describes how constraint‑based causal discovery extends to unmeasured confounding by searching PAG/MAG space with the FCI algorithm; shows the latent‑projection rules and the “possible DSEP” trick that make conditional‑independence testing feasible, demonstrates with linear‑Gaussian simulations (n=10,000) using Fisher‑Z tests and the pcaug R package, compares failures of PC/GES, and highlights when Y‑shaped patterns identify unmeasured confounding versus pure ancestry.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction to latent variables
  2. 1:56Causal processes and dependence
  3. 5:07Distinguishing causal structures
  4. 11:51Graphical models for latent data
  5. 21:40Limitations of general ADMGs
  6. 28:07Maximal ancestral graphs (MAGs)
  7. 43:22FCI algorithm overview
  8. 52:10Practical demonstration
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