~/talk

Time Series Forecasting Techniques in Python

Talkat PyConline AU 2021 · 2021-09-10..09-12· [machine-learning, data-visualization]
slides:none on file

A practical overview that claims to teach basic model selection and shows runnable examples: imports from statsmodels, a random toy dataset, fitting AR/MA/ARIMA/SARIMA variants and a SARIMAX with exogenous regressors, plus demos of Prophet and Darts. Notes which methods are univariate versus multivariate (VARMA for vectors), that models use a Kalman filter internally, and that no performance benchmarks or real-world accuracy numbers are provided.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 1:20Welcome
  3. 1:38Agenda
  4. 2:05What is Time Series
  5. 3:25Applications
  6. 5:20Time Series Patterns
  7. 9:03Basic Steps in Forecasting
  8. 11:15Time Series Methods
  9. 12:25Auto Regression
  10. 14:18Moving Average
  11. 15:31AutoRegressive
  12. 18:01Cerimo Model
  13. 19:22Vector Auto Regression
  14. 20:40holtwinsters exponential smoothing
  15. 21:34as profit
  16. 22:47darts
  17. 23:40darts capabilities
  18. 24:54Summary
  19. 26:05Audience Questions
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