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Piecewise Analysis of Probabilistic Programs via k-Induction

Talkat POPL 2026 · 2026-01-11..01-17· [machine-learning]
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name:Jingyu Ke
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Proposes a method that extracts region splits from k-induction operators and combines them with the Optional Stopping Theorem to synthesize piecewise polynomial bounds on loop-exit expectations. Algorithms reduce the linear case to bilinear programming and relax the polynomial case to semidefinite programming; numerical repair checks ensure soundness. Evaluation over POPL benchmarks yields exact results on several examples, solves about 80% of polynomial cases within seconds, and beats or succeeds where other tools fail on roughly 40% of cases.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 1:51Monolithic bound synthesis challenges
  3. 3:14K-induction for piecewise bounds
  4. 6:47Theoretical foundations of k-induction
  5. 9:22Algorithm design with random walk
  6. 13:45Loop unrolling and case analysis
  7. 16:17Constraint solving for linear/polynomial cases
  8. 18:24Experimental results and benchmarks
  9. 21:14Summary and future work
  10. 22:21Q&A: Numerical solver limits
  11. 23:28Q&A: Tool failure analysis
  12. 24:13Q&A: State space partitioning
  13. 24:55Q&A: Context sensitivity
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