Data-Driven Battery-Lifetime-Aware Scheduling for Electric Bus Fleets
summary
A data-driven scheduler that uses bus GPS and transaction data, K-means to extract stations, and a Prophet time-series model to predict passenger arrivals feeds a Lyapunov optimization scheduler that minimizes time-average battery degradation while controlling passenger queues. Evaluated on a 12-month Shenzhen dataset, the system yields about 14.3% to 21.7% reduction in battery degradation under comparable passenger loads, maintains comparable passenger wait times, tolerates parameter estimation error, and runs in polynomial time with deterministic performance bounds.
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