~/talk

Probabilistic Programming and Bayesian Inference in Python

Talkat PyOhio 2019 · 2019-07-27..07-28· [machine-learning]
links:none on file
slides:none on file

Hands-on introduction to Bayesian inference using PyMC3 and Theano, showing concrete code: build priors, feed observed data, run MCMC traces (defaults 2 chains, examples use 500–2,500 samples), and inspect trace plots and posterior predictive checks. Demonstrates that a loose prior lets the sampler recover true parameters from synthetic data while a restrictive prior biases estimates, and sketches using hierarchical models (mixed effects) for grouped data and when pooling fails.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Start
  2. 10:22Bayesian Inference vs Frequentist
  3. 20:25Probabilistic Programming
  4. 56:10Hierarchical Linear Regression
  5. 58:34Mixed Effects Modeling
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