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Algorithmic Stability for Interactive Data Analysis

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Interactive reuse of data causes severe overfitting: naive empirical answers let an adaptive procedure reach correlation about √D/√N (even perfect when D > N). Stability measured as distributional stability (inspired by differential privacy) prevents that by limiting information leaked about the sample. Practical remedy: answer statistical queries by adding noise (e.g. add Gaussian noise to empirical estimates) and get improved accuracy roughly error O(K^{1/4}/√N) instead of √K/√N. Remaining limits: dependence on ambient dimension D and worst-case computational barriers via fingerprinting-code attacks.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 0:48Statistical Theory: One-Way Streets
  3. 2:04Statistical Practice: Traffic Circles
  4. 2:57Examples of Interaction
  5. 4:48Possible Approaches
  6. 8:23Overfitting in Interactive Data Analysis
  7. 13:07How to Avoid This Trap?
  8. 14:51Output Stability
  9. 16:19Distributional Stability (aka Privacy)
  10. 18:55A General Framework
  11. 21:11Example: Statistical Queries (SQs)
  12. 22:03The Empirical Estimator
  13. 23:19An Improved Estimator
  14. 24:37Proof Overview
  15. 29:10Summary of Results
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