Estimates: Is There a Silver Bullet?
summary
No single magic solution for project estimation is offered; instead concrete practices are recommended: use planning poker, create spike tickets for research, measure team velocity and target about 85% sprint completion, and involve the whole team in estimation. The talk contrasts failures (vague requirements, hidden dependencies, optimism) with successful practices (kickoffs that gather constraints, investing in spikes, short feedback loops) and presents real project case studies showing one team meeting targets without overtime and another missing badly.
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chapters (10)
- 0:00Introduction
- 4:42Who estimates tasks
- 10:25Why estimates fail
- 17:08Adjusting after misses
- 21:48Can't estimate task
- 25:17NYC vs Tel Aviv case studies
- 31:04Team meets estimates
- 35:22Why estimates change
- 37:08Estimation exercise
- 41:49Q&A
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