Choosing Between Dags Can Be Hard
summary
Two DAGs that are observationally equivalent sit on different algebraic constraints in correlation space: one is a plane enforcing marginal independence, the other is a hyperbolic parabola encoding conditional independence, and they intersect on the axes and at the origin. Near the origin the distance between models scales like 1/N, so effects of order 1/√N are indistinguishable and strong-faithfulness bounds still fail. A decision rule uses a likelihood-ratio threshold and otherwise allows the answer report a collection of models.
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chapters (8)
- 0:00Introduction
- 0:15Richard Go
- 1:38Geometric View
- 2:35Scoring Approach
- 2:50Ratio Test
- 4:08Theory
- 5:40Decision Rule
- 7:07Whats Next
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