~/talk

Choosing Between Dags Can Be Hard

Talkat Meet the Fellows Welcome Event · 2021-09-08..09-09· [machine-learning]
links:none on file
slides:none on file

Two DAGs that are observationally equivalent sit on different algebraic constraints in correlation space: one is a plane enforcing marginal independence, the other is a hyperbolic parabola encoding conditional independence, and they intersect on the axes and at the origin. Near the origin the distance between models scales like 1/N, so effects of order 1/√N are indistinguishable and strong-faithfulness bounds still fail. A decision rule uses a likelihood-ratio threshold and otherwise allows the answer report a collection of models.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:15Richard Go
  3. 1:38Geometric View
  4. 2:35Scoring Approach
  5. 2:50Ratio Test
  6. 4:08Theory
  7. 5:40Decision Rule
  8. 7:07Whats Next
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