~/talk

Intro to Probabilistic Programming and Clojure’s Anglican

Talkat EuroClojure 2017 · 2017-07-20..07-21· [clojure]
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slides:none on file

Probabilistic programming is presented with concrete Clojure examples using Anglican running on the JVM, showing a beta prior coin model (40 tosses) and an AB test where simulated groups of 150 vs 250 users with 7% vs 4% conversion are recovered as posteriors via do-query sampling (20,000 samples, ~230s on the demo machine). The game-physics experiment attempts to infer gravity (true -80) and restitution (true 0.5) but fails to converge cleanly, illustrating limits; alternatives mentioned include Stan, PyMC and Biadera.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro to probabilistic programming
  2. 1:08Speaker’s journey to Anglican
  3. 3:56Probabilistic programming and why
  4. 6:22Bayesian probability basics
  5. 10:54MCMC sampling explained
  6. 13:22How prob prog systems work
  7. 15:29Anglican features
  8. 16:12Coin toss with Anglican
  9. 16:55Learning coin bias
  10. 19:43AB testing with Anglican
  11. 25:23Game physics Bayesian inference
  12. 29:34Creative apps and Clojure
  13. 30:59Other prob prog tools
  14. 32:01Conclusions on Anglican
  15. 33:26Acknowledgements
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