Exponential improvements to the average-case hardness of random circuits
summary
Claims an exponential improvement in robustness for estimating output probabilities of random circuits and BosonSampling, tightening the error from essentially 2^{-n} to matching the first two exponent terms e^{-n log n - n - n^{ε}} and leaving only an O(log n) gap; introduces new tools—dilution, coefficient extraction, rare events lemmas—that reduce polynomial degree and extrapolation distance; proves a first nontrivial average-case sampling hardness that rules out any classical sampler that succeeds on all but a 2^{-N^{1/3}} fraction of inputs; constructions overcome depth and JSV barriers and rely on anti-concentration and Gaussian-shift tails.
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chapters (16)
- 0:00Introduction
- 0:42Why sampling from random circuits is fascinating
- 4:34Unproven conjectures
- 6:18Status of proof
- 8:20Why is progress so difficult
- 8:58Hardness of sampling
- 14:05Worst to average case reduction
- 16:54New tools
- 17:32Dilution
- 24:40Depth Barrier
- 26:35Permanent
- 29:47JSV barrier
- 31:38Improving robustness
- 34:05Key idea
- 37:15Technical details
- 40:15Questions
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