Quantum Physics and Statistical Causal Models (Simons Institute workshop, 2022)
who it's for
quantum foundations theorists, causal discovery researchers, graphical-model and probabilistic-inference researchers, statisticians and econometricians working on causal inference, experimental quantum optics and superconducting experimentalists, applied mathematicians and optimization researchers
topics
inflation technique for causal inference; entangled quantum switch experiments; genuinely multipartite GHZ nonlocality; generalized instrumental variable inequalities; latent variable cardinality bounds; quantum structural models with process operators; entropic e-separation inequalities; Bell-style causal-interaction proofs; local marginal polytope and graph covers; sequential models with Positivstellensatz relaxations; Bayesian calculus for density matrices; arguments for Born probabilities
| title | author | length |
|---|---|---|
| Applications of The Inflation Technique for Causal Inference | Elie Wolfe | 46m |
Presents the inflation technique as a concrete method: build inflation graphs by taking IID copies of latent roots, convert expressible monomials and symmetry… | ||
| Self-Tests of Physical Theories in Networks and Their Implications for the Foundations of... | Mirjam Weilenmann | 41m |
Proposes adaptive CHSH network tests that change the Bell graph to force mid‑node operations and shows two concrete tasks: one that rules out box‑world/PR‑box… | ||
| Experimental Entanglement of Temporal Order | Giulia Rubino | 51m |
First demonstration of indefinite temporal order outside quantum formalism, showing experimental outcomes that rule out a class of generalized probabilistic… | ||
| The Most General Causal Theory of Correlations Restricted to Bounded Multipartite... | Marc-Olivier Renou | 42m |
Constructs an explicit GHZ-based measurement protocol whose output distribution cannot be reproduced by any model built only from shared randomness plus… | ||
| Sequential Models | Miguel Navascues | 36m |
Defines sequential models as time-evolving systems with an internal state, global unknown evolution parameters, and adversarial per-step uncontrolled… | ||
| Generalized Instrumental Inequalities: Complexity, Sharpness, Robustness | Ismael Mourifie | 45m |
Generalized instrumental inequalities extend Pearl’s IV tests to binary treatment with unrestricted (including continuous) outcome and instruments and claim a… | ||
| Latent Variable Justifies the Stronger IV Bounds | Richard Guo | 45m |
Shows that the Balke–Pearl “sharp” IV bounds follow from the existence of a latent confounder plus stochastic exclusion, not cross-world individal exclusion… | ||
| Cardinality Bounds and Parameterization for Latent Variable Graphical Models | Noam Finkelstein | 42m |
Claim: any latent discrete variable can be assumed finite without restricting the marginal model, and tighter Carathéodory's theorem bounds follow by measuring… | ||
| A Semantics for Counterfactuals in Quantum Causal Models | Eric Cavalcanti | 49m |
Introduces a formal semantics that completes Pearl’s causal ladder for quantum setups by defining a quantum structural model built from Choi–Jamiolkowski… | ||
| Graphical Criteria for Inequality Constraints in Directed Acyclic Graphs with Hidden Variables | Beata Zjawin | 43m |
Shows that e-separation => entropic inequalities gives explicit, testable entropy bounds that reproduce some quantifier-elimination results and are… | ||
| A Proof of Bell’s Inequality in Quantum Mechanics Using Causal Interactions | James Robins | 48m |
A compact, concrete proof shows that Bell inequalities follow from standard counterfactual (Neyman) causal-interaction logic and that experimentally observed… | ||
| On Polytopes and Convex Sets Associated with Graphical Models in Classical and Quantum... | Pascal Vontobel | 46m |
Defines the local marginal polytope and shows it is typically strictly larger than the true marginal polytope, proves that points in the larger set correspond… | ||
| Marginal DAG Models Equivalent to Another DAG | Robin Evans | 44m |
Claim: a marginal DAG model equals the marginal model of some DAG on the observed variables if and only if the original MDAG induces no non‑trivial inequality… | ||
| Causal Reductions | Joris Mooij | 44m |
Proposes a causal reduction that collapses arbitrary latent confounders into a single W (matching X in the observational regime) and proves observational… | ||
| Marginal Treatment Effects with Misclassified Treatment | Désiré Kédagni | 52m |
Derives identification and tight analytical bounds for the marginal treatment effect when a binary treatment is misclassified, showing MTE = derivative of E[Y… | ||
| Instrumental Variables in Sparse and Dynamical Settings | Jonas Peters | 43m |
Shows that when causal effects are sparse and instruments propagate enough heterogeneity, the true linear beta is the sparsest solution in the solution space… | ||
| A Bayesian Probability Calculus for Density Matrices | Manfred Warmuth | 49m |
Defines a Bayesian calculus where probabilities are density matrices and derives joint, conditional and marginal rules using quantum relative entropy and… | ||
| A Dynamic-Epistemic Approach to Conditionals | Sonja Smets | 51m |
Argues for a single dynamic-epistemic framework that represents conditionals as actions on models, using propositional dynamic logic, quantum dynamic logic… | ||
| Causal Influence in Quantum Theory | Jonathan Barrett | 57m |
Proposes a formal account of causality in quantum theory that defines causal influence by unitary evolution and uses Choi-Jamiołkowski operators to prove an… | ||
| "Fine-Tuned", "Unfaithful", "Unnatural": Abuse of Terminology in Causal Modeling | Tim Maudlin | 55m |
Argues that causal‑model jargon like fine‑tuned / unfaithful / unnatural is being abused when applied to real quantum theories, using the three‑particle GHZ… | ||
| Causal Discovery in the Quantum Context | Sally Shrapnel | 48m |
Classical causal discovery breaks on Bell correlations, so the proposal formalizes quantum causal models via a process matrix W that factorizes into… | ||
| Why Born Probabilities? | Michael Weissman | 38m |
Argues that Born probabilities can emerge from unitary quantum mechanics if the global state includes a high-entropy quantum noise background and observations… | ||
| Adjudicating Between Different Causal Accounts of Bell Inequality Violations | Rob Spekkens | 50m |
Claims that classical causal models with inter-lab influences fit Bell-violation data better are tested by fitting models to a lab dataset with 25 measurement… | ||
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