~/talk

Online Change Point Detection Using Spark Streaming

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Scan Statistics are applied to streaming data using Spark Streaming and a homemade Python package that implements Bayesian online change point detection with a constant hazard and a t‑distribution prior. An accumulator Q keeps a bounded run‑length window across microbatches; a demo feeds NOAA daily temps one per second, produces posterior contour plots that flag abrupt shifts (threshold ~0.5), correlates those shifts with short‑lived sales spikes, and notes burn‑in and insensitivity to slow trends.

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  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 1:50Why online change point detection matters
  3. 3:01Nonparametric and Bayesian algorithms
  4. 8:23Handling infinite data with windows
  5. 11:40Case study: weather and consumer behavior
  6. 13:08Demo: Spark Streaming and accumulators
  7. 15:34Detecting abrupt changes in weather
  8. 19:21Visualizing change points across US
  9. 22:11Q&A
  10. 25:09Comparing models and thresholds
  11. 27:06Closing remarks
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