~/talk

Learning Statistics Will Save Your Life

Talkat MountainWest RubyConf 2015 · 2015-03-09..03-10· [data-science]
slides:none on file

Shows concrete stats you can use right now: a 169-user dataset with 3,320 badges yields mean ≈20, median 2, mode 1 and standard deviation 36 because test accounts skew results, so report dispersion not just averages. Uses Ruby's benchmark/benchmark-ips and the descriptive_statistics gem to compare string vs symbol (≈28% difference, t huge) and quote styles (tiny, inconsistent t≈3.87). Demonstrates power math (3%→4% needs ~4,800–5,300 samples per arm) and advocates Bayesian A/B with regret to allow peeking and midstream switching.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 1:37Basic Descriptive Statistics
  3. 3:01My Background
  4. 4:18Three Types of Lies
  5. 7:34Math
  6. 8:41Example
  7. 9:59Inferring
  8. 14:45AB Tests
  9. 19:31Ancient Statistics
  10. 21:50Peeking
  11. 22:02Regret
  12. 23:00Be Testing
  13. 25:22Enrico Fermi
  14. 26:04Fermi Estimation
  15. 28:35Piano Tuners
  16. 28:53Pivot
  17. 30:23Patrons
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