~/talk

Statistical Inference I

Talkat Foundations of Data Science Boot Camp 2018 · 2018-08-27..08-31
links:none on file
slides:none on file

Defines a statistical model, loss and risk, then compares three binomial estimators delta0 = X/n, delta1 = (X+3)/n, delta2 = (X+3)/(n+6) and plots MSE vs θ to show delta1 is inadmissible while delta0 and delta2 trade bias for variance. Explains bias–variance decomposition, Bayes vs minimax criteria (uniform prior yields Bayes estimator = (X+1)/(n+2) for squared loss), notes Bayes-optimal rule is the posterior mean, discusses empirical/hierarchical Bayes and practical computational/prior elicitation issues.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction to estimation
  2. 0:54Statistical models
  3. 3:33Estimators and statistics
  4. 5:32Loss and risk functions
  5. 7:26Understanding risk functions
  6. 9:16Evaluating estimators
  7. 15:30Bayes and minimax risk
  8. 18:39Minimax risk properties
  9. 25:24Unbiased estimators
  10. 27:37Bias-variance tradeoff
  11. 32:31Bayesian inference
  12. 41:10Choosing priors
  13. 44:48Randomized estimators
  14. 47:34Empirical and hierarchical Bayes
  15. 53:03Using non-informative priors
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