~/talk

Information/Computation Gaps in Heavy-Tailed Statistics

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Open problem: match the Gaussian high-probability confidence radius r = sqrt(d/n) + sqrt(log(1/δ)/n) for covariance under only bounded moments. Exponential-time high-dimensional medians achieve that, but the polynomial-time algorithm here gets the same form with an extra factor log(1/δ)^{1/4}, requires eighth-moment plus certifiability, and builds a spectral r-center via bucketing and a sum-of-squares SDP certification. A planted-bucket construction gives evidence that certifying below the 1/4 exponent is hard.

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  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:50High dimensional estimation
  3. 3:57State of the art
  4. 8:43Open problem
  5. 12:21Covariance estimator
  6. 13:40Spectral R center
  7. 16:22Theorem
  8. 16:50Rcenter
  9. 17:38Partial Progress
  10. 19:48Algorithm
  11. 21:22Certification
  12. 23:50Certification for smaller values of R
  13. 25:58Questions
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