~/talk

On-Line Systems with Long-Range Goals

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Presents an empirical-plus-theory package: on Stack Overflow the civic duty badge (300 votes) and Electorate badge (600 question votes) show a measurable ramp-up in the rewarded actions right before the win, and a Coursera randomized experiment finds higher forum activity when badge progress or bylines are made salient. Models combine a state‑space dynamic program and a directed acyclic graph with a present bias multiplier to explain procrastination, task abandonment, and choice reduction; proves exponential worst‑case cost ratios require a k‑fan minor and shows the node‑deletion “make traversable” problem is NP‑hard.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:44The curve issue
  3. 2:01Guiding framework
  4. 3:53Stack Overflow
  5. 6:58First Model
  6. 21:00Badges
  7. 23:00Multistep plans
  8. 25:00Geometric discounting
  9. 30:00Choice reduction
  10. 31:53Statespaces
  11. 33:28Story
  12. 34:12Task abandonment
  13. 35:21Deadlines and classes
  14. 37:41Graphs
  15. 39:11Graph Miners
  16. 41:32Choice Reduction Problem
  17. 43:16Latent Story
  18. 43:56Deceptive Practices
  19. 47:14Commitment Devices
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