~/talk

Better Research Planning Through Simulation

Talkat satRday Los Angeles 2019 · on Saturday, 2019-04-06· [data-science]
slides:none on file

Shows a concrete workflow: use fabricatr, randomizr and estimatr inside DeclareDesign to declare a population, sampling and assignment, and an estimator, then run simulations. Example: a clustered classroom experiment (10 teachers, ~20 students each) runs 10,000 sims in ~240 CPU seconds, finds bias ~0.36 and power ~0.50, so the planned design fails. Packages bootstrap by default, integrate with tidyverse and support parallelization via future for speed.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction and motivation
  2. 1:08Reproducibility crisis and pre-analysis plans
  3. 6:24Garden of forking paths explained
  4. 8:49Introducing declare design suite
  5. 10:15Fabricator for synthetic data
  6. 13:24Randomizer for sampling and assignment
  7. 15:34Estimator for common analyses
  8. 17:20Declare design integration
  9. 18:25Example study simulation
  10. 23:43Design diagnostics and power curves
  11. 26:09Real-world data simulation case
  12. 27:56Key takeaways and future work
  13. 29:18Q&A and acknowledgments
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