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Affine Monads and Lazy Structures for Bayesian Programming

Talkat POPL 2023 · 2023-01-15..01-21· [machine-learning]
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Argues that infinite-dimensional Bayesian models (Poisson, Gaussian, Dirichlet, Beta, jump processes) are naturally expressed with lazy streams and infinite trees, and that semantics require two distinct monads: an affine probability monad for lazy sampling and a non-affine measures monad for scoring. Proves decidability/semantic separation using quasi-Borel spaces, gives Metropolis-Hastings-Green–based correctness for new lazy-aware inference moves, implements two Monte Carlo algorithms plus LazyPPL in Haskell using infinite random-seed trees and stochastic memoization.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Start
  2. 0:35Probabilistic programming with lazy infinite structures • A language for building distributions and measures • Complex non-parametric models (infinite or unbounded dimension): lazy programming is natural
  3. 4:28Example: random piecewise functions
  4. 6:45The metalanguage (Prob)
  5. 12:44The metalanguage (Prob + Meas) Add a monad Meas of un-normalized measures
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