~/talk

Probabilistic Graphical Models, HMMs using PGMPY

Talkat ODSC India 2018 · 2018-08-31..09-01· [machine-learning]
links:none on file
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Covers building and querying generative probabilistic models with the open source pgmpy library, showing how to enter CPDs, run variable elimination queries and do evidential reasoning on examples like a restaurant traffic model and fraud detection. Emphasizes that Bayesian networks and HMMs give uncertainty estimates from few samples (coin‑toss demos show variance shrinking as N increases), support structure and parameter learning from data, and let users generate synthetic examples; notebooks and code are on GitHub.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 2:02Scenario
  3. 4:20Deep Neural Net
  4. 5:54Real Business Problems
  5. 9:03Mathematical Questions
  6. 12:03Agenda
  7. 13:53Ria Aggarwal
  8. 15:09What is probability
  9. 15:29What are random variables
  10. 16:13What is the conditional probability
  11. 17:07What is marginalization
  12. 17:34Bayesian vs Markov
  13. 18:33Examples
  14. 21:02Bayesian Networks
  15. 21:34Conditional Probability Distribution
  16. 22:32Joint Distribution
  17. 22:54Weather Outlook
  18. 23:21Causal Reasoning
  19. 25:06Flow of Influence
  20. 27:23Active Trails
  21. 27:52Independence
  22. 29:37Markov
  23. 30:02Independence Assumption
  24. 30:24Dynamic Bayesian Networks
  25. 31:04Hidden Markov Model
  26. 31:47Plate Model
  27. 32:18Plate Models
  28. 32:54Markov Networks
  29. 35:20Factors
  30. 39:55Gibbs Distribution
  31. 41:42Conditional Random Fields
  32. 47:20Log Linear Models
  33. 48:50Utility Functions
  34. 50:00Exercises
  35. 51:11GitHub
  36. 51:57Notebooks
  37. 52:31PGMPY Library
  38. 52:41Building a Bayesian Model
  39. 54:32Evidence
  40. 55:27CPD
  41. 56:52Variable Elimination
  42. 58:46evidential reasoning
  43. 59:24Bayesian inference
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