~/talk

Measuring Intelligence in the Wild: Advances in Preference-Based Evaluation

Talkat Measuring Intelligence Summit 2025 · on Tuesday, 2025-10-21· [large-language-models]
links:none on file
slides:none on file

LMArena is a live benchmark with tens of millions of users and hundreds of millions of prompts, exposing 700+ models across 150+ countries and producing 250 million conversations across 125+ languages. It uses blind randomized pairwise comparisons and Bradley‑Terry logistic regression with style and sentiment controls, trains a prompt‑conditional model (7B shown) called Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) to output per‑prompt Bradley‑Terry vectors, deploys those vectors for cost/latency optimal routing via a linear program, and reports significant PTO improvements.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Alamarina mission
  2. 1:03Live human evaluations
  3. 2:28Text and image platforms demo
  4. 3:52Platform scale and impact
  5. 5:57Live vs static benchmarks
  6. 9:27Granular analytics challenges
  7. 10:51Leaderboards with Bradley-Terry
  8. 13:18Beyond average leaderboards
  9. 16:28Prompt-specific leaderboards
  10. 19:17Prompt model scaling laws
  11. 20:21Routing cost-performance trade-offs
  12. 21:24Preference decomposition
  13. 24:33Causal inference directions
  14. 25:14Closing remarks
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