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Model-Based Reinforcement Learning with Value-Targeted Regression

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Proposes using value-targeted regression: fit transition models only to predict next-step value estimates, then build confidence sets over models and do optimistic planning with those models. Claims this avoids state reconstruction (motivated by MuZero) and gives provable online regret bounds that scale with sqrt(T) and with model complexity measured by the eluder dimension and log covering numbers of the transition class. Special cases recover linear-model rates (dimension dependence, reducible to sparsity) and match known Bayesian bounds.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 1:22Model-Based Reinforcement Learning
  3. 4:01Episodic Reinforcement Learning
  4. 5:13Upper Confidence Model-Based RL (UCRL)
  5. 7:08The class of deterministic continuous systems . Consider a deterministic system
  6. 8:03A Simple Metric-Based RL Algorithm
  7. 11:07Doubling Dimension d
  8. 12:19Feature space embedding of transition model
  9. 13:41The MatrixRL Algorithm
  10. 15:11From Feature to Kernel Embedding of Transition Model
  11. 17:31A motivating example: MuZero
  12. 21:20Assumption of Value-Targeted Regression
  13. 22:20Value-Targeted Regression (VTR) for Confidence Set Construction
  14. 25:31Full Algorithm of UCRL-VTR
  15. 26:30Regret analysis of UCRL-VTR
  16. 28:31A Special Case
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