~/talk

Futurology for Developers

Talkat GOTOpia November 2020 · 2020-11-10..11-11· [career-development]
slides:none on file

Extrapolates hardware and software trends into concrete milestones: Apple M1: 16 billion transistors, ~2.4 TFLOPS CPU+GPU and 10 billion NPU ops/s and Moore’s curve would imply absurdly large chips (328 trillion transistors) before physical limits bite. Shows cheap edge devices (Raspberry Pi €35, Jetson Nano €100) running ML, a 2003 3D‑printed remote that actually worked except for batteries, and warns quantum will crack 2048‑bit RSA in sub‑milliseconds. Predicts AR mainstream by 2029, Mars manufacturing by 2039, and IT using ~20% of global energy by 2030.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 1:18History
  3. 10:31Present
  4. 25:41Modern primitive technology
  5. 33:29Future
  6. 43:28Outro
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