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A Practical Method to Reduce Privacy Loss when Disclosing Statistics Based on Small Samples

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Releases local regression predictions with added noise using a data-driven sensitivity cap called maximum observed sensitivity (MOS) (Chi scales as Chi/n), applied to a 20 million-person Census–tax panel; uses Windsorization at 5–95%, Gaussian noise, state×race×gender cells, and censors cells <20 per IRS. Method is not provably private but reduces bias versus count-suppression (example: teenage birth estimate rises from 34% to 40% across a covariate shift), retains usable precision for cell sizes ~50–200, and produces the public Opportunity Atlas maps now viewed by >500,000 users.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 2:00Publishing Statistics Based on Small Cells
  3. 2:41Intergenerational Mobility in the United States Mean Child Household Income Rank vs. Parent Household Income Rank
  4. 6:27Controlling Privacy Loss
  5. 6:47This Paper: A Practical Method to Reduce Privacy Loss
  6. 10:22Calculating Sensitivity
  7. 11:53Maximum Observed Sensitivity
  8. 16:06Data Sources and Sample Definitions
  9. 17:53Specification Details
  10. 23:40Other Practicalities for Privacy Method Implementation
  11. 26:18Application: Opportunity Atlas
  12. 33:06Comparison to Alternative Methods: Privacy
  13. 33:51Comparison to Alternative Methods: Statistical Bias
  14. 35:30Teenage Birth Rates for Black Women vs. Number of Black Women with Teenage Births in Tract
  15. 42:20Future Work
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