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Rigorous Evidence for Information-Computation Trade-offs

complexity theorists, high-dimensional statistics researchers, machine learning researchers, optimization researchers, algorithm designers, statistical physicists, privacy researchers

low-degree polynomial methods; sum-of-squares lower bounds; planted clique reductions; average-case hardness reductions; memory-sample tradeoffs; approximate message passing (AMP); overlap gap property for inference; stochastic gradient descent escape phases; spectral methods for robust estimation; generative priors for signal recovery; phase transitions in spiked models; differential privacy query complexity

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Smoothed CSP Refutation Is As Easy As Random, For Both Efficient Algorithms And CertificatesPravesh K. Kothari58m
Shows that starting from any worst-case clause hypergraph and flipping each literal with small constant probability (e.g. 0.01) yields the same density–time…
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Sum Of Squares Lower Bounds Versus Low-Degree Polynomial Lower BoundsAaron Potechin29m
Compares low-degree polynomials and Sum-of-Squares via pseudo-calibration and gives a concrete inequality: a low-degree polynomial with mean C on the planted…
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Planted Geometric Matching ProblemsDmitriy (Tim) Kunisky31m
Model: points Xi ~ N(0,I) get Gaussian displacements with variance sigma^2, then permuted; estimator is the maximum likelihood estimator solved as a linear…
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Robust Parameter Estimation For Random GraphsJayadev Acharya24m
Establishes nearly tight upper and lower bounds for estimating p in G(n,p) with an adversary corrupting a γ fraction of nodes: a two-step algorithm uses a…
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New Techniques For Proving Fine-Grained Average-Case HardnessAndrea Lincoln44m
A framework shows that if a worst‑case problem P equals a good low‑degree polynomial on {0,1} inputs (degree ≲ log n / log log n) and that polynomial is…
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Charting the Landscape of Memory/Data Tradeoffs in Continuous Optimization: ...Gregory Valiant45m
Constrained-memory algorithms either store a basis or pay huge sample costs: over F2, algorithms with <~d^2/4 bits of memory require exponentially many samples…
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Computational Barriers to Estimation from Low-Degree PolynomialsTselil Schramm29m
Considers the spiked Gaussian matrix model with K = N^alpha nonzeros and SNR lambda = N^{beta-alpha}, and shows a concrete lower bound: against no…
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The Overlap Gap Property For Inference: Power And LimitationsIlias Zadik36m
Claim: the overlap gap property (OGP) for inference predicts where efficient algorithms fail by testing monotonicity of a restricted optimization curve…
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To Be (Hard) or Not Be:...Florent Krzakala36m
Defines the spiked matrix-tensor model (rank‑one vector, noisy matrix plus p=3 tensor), computes the Bayes-optimal MMSE from the limiting free energy and…
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Are Generative Models The New Sparsity?Bruno Loureiro29m
Generative priors sampled from random-weight neural nets reduce the algorithmic–statistical gap seen with sparsity in toy high-dimensional inference: rigorous…
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A Few Simple Average-Case Reduction Techniques And Their Surprising EffectivenessGuy Bresler01h 07m
Shows concrete polynomial-time maps from planted‑clique variants to many statistical tasks, claiming simple linear transforms explain apparent computational…
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The Initial Search Phase Of Stochastic Gradient Descent For High-Dimensional Inference TasksReza Gheissari30m
Classifies how much data and time online SGD needs to escape the small‑correlation saddle at the origin: define an information exponent K (first nonzero…
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Local Convexity Of The Tap Free Energy And Amp Convergence For Z2-SynchronizationSong Mei32m
For Z2 synchronization at constant signal strength the result is that the TAP free energy has a single, locally strongly convex minimizer near the Bayes…
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Signal Recovery With Generative PriorsPaul Hand33m
Random ReLU feedforward generators with Gaussian weights and expansive layers are modeled as the prior and shown to permit compressive phase retrieval from…
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All-or-Nothing Statistical and Computational Phase Transitions in Sparse Spiked Matrix EstimationCynthia Rush38m
Shows that rank‑1 sparse spiked matrix estimation exhibits sharp all‑or‑nothing phase transitions as sparsity rho→0 and SNR λ→∞: the information‑theoretic…
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Phase Retrieval In High Dimensions: Statistical And Computational Phase TransitionsAntoine Maillard35m
Conjectures give an explicit replica symmetric potential whose maximizer yields the asymptotic MMSE; the formula is proven for Gaussian sensing matrices (real…
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Mismatched Monte Carlo Algorithms For The Planted Clique ProblemMaria Chiara Angelini31m
Jerrum Monte Carlo on perfect cliques gets trapped at random clique sizes and empirically remains superpolynomial until k scales like n^0.91 rather than √n, so…
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Putting Quantum Supremacy on a Rigorous FootingUmesh Vazirani01h 08m
Google builds a superconducting device with 52 qubits and ~depth 20 circuits (≈1,000 gates, each failing ~1/100) and reports a linear cross-entropy score…
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Optimizing Noncommutative Polynomials: The SYK ModelRyan O'Donnell59m
Random SYK Hamiltonians (Gaussian coefficients normalized so E[sum A_S^2]=1) live as implicit 2^{N/2}-dimensional Majorana matrices and have OPT(H) = Θ(√N)…
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The Algorithmic Phase Transition of Random k-SAT for Low Degree PolynomialsBrice Huang33m
Shows that low-degree polynomial algorithms (degree ~log N, a class that simulates FIX) provably fail for Random k‑SAT once clause density exceeds a constant…
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Tight Algorithmic Thresholds for Spin Glass HamiltoniansMark Sellke26m
Provides a tight characterization of the algorithmic threshold ALG for optimizing mean-field spin glass Hamiltonians (Ising and spherical, even-degree models…
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Average-Case Hardness in Proof ComplexitySusanna F. de Rezende59m
Survey claims average-case refutation of random instances is the right way to prove strong proof-size lower bounds, and it demonstrates concrete tools…
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Extractor-Based Approach To Memory-Sample TradeoffsSumegha Garg45m
The paper proves concrete memory–sample lower bounds by modeling learners as branching programs and using an extractor-based matrix condition (every large…
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Optimal Spectral Recovery Of A Planted Vector In A SubspaceAlexander S Wein27m
Recovery targets a structured vector hidden in a random D-dimensional subspace by observing an N×D basis matrix whose rows are IID samples that are Gaussian…
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Refutation and Spectrally Quiet Planting of Cuts and Colorings in Random GraphsJess Banks23m
Constructs a spectrally quiet planted model by taking random d-regular graphs as the null and sampling random lifts of a small k-colorable base so that the…
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Differential Privacy And The Complexity Of Simple QueriesJonathan Ullman01h 00m
Shows an explicit information–computation gap: answering k arbitrary bounded mean queries privately needs about √k samples with any polynomial-time algorithm…
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The Estimation Error of General First Order MethodsMichael Celentano27m
Claims a concrete lower bound: for fixed T and n,p →∞ any general first‑order method (matrix multiplies + coordinatewise nonlinearities) reduces any…
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Non-Gaussian Component Analysis: Statistical Query Hardness and its ApplicationsIlias Diakonikolas29m
Proves an SQ hardness theorem for Non‑Gaussian Component Analysis: if a univariate A matches the first m moments with N(0,1) and has finite chi-square…
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SQ Lower Bounds for Learning Halfspaces with Massart NoiseDaniel Kane31m
Proves an SQ lower bound: no statistical-query algorithm with polynomially many queries and polynomial accuracy learns a linear threshold function under…
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Towards Lower Bounds for Efficient Robust Estimation From Worst Case AssumptionsJerry Li31m
Shows that beating O(sqrt(epsilon)) under only moment or resilience assumptions is probably impossible by reductions from small‑set expansion variants…
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Computational Barriers For Learning Some Generalized Linear ModelsSurbhi Goel30m
Shows two concrete hardness results for ReLU GLMs: a conditional lower bound from Densest-kappa-subgraph hardness proving no poly(d) · 2^{Ω(1/ε^2)} time…
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